Posts Tagged Turkish Central Bank
Monetary Confusion and Credit Cycles

Monetary Confusion and Credit Cycles

Turkey has been an interesting experience for economists in many aspects. A central bank keeping the real interest rates extremely low in a period when the country suffers from savings gap and high inflation may be among them, despite a good economic performance.

Pretending that the central bank is the only game in town is inherited by the world of quantitative easing, where developing economies are besotted with a cheap money which has been in place for...

March Inflation: Big Downside Surprise

March Inflation: Big Downside Surprise

Consumer Price Index inflation in Turkey surprised significantly on the downside in March on the back of falling food prices. According to the data released by the official statistics office annual inflation slowed to 7.5% y/y from 8.8% in February. On a m/m basis it remained stable being well below the consensus of 0.5%. However, the improvement in core inflation was less satisfactory as the I index (core inflation) only lowered by 21 basis points to 9.5%.

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Turkey’s Resilience to a Fed Rate Hike

Turkey’s Resilience to a Fed Rate Hike

The effects on emerging markets of unconventional monetary policies implemented by some advanced economies have been a focus of debate. The policy of so-called quantitative easing that the central banks in advanced economies embarked on has increased capital flows to emerging markets. However, as these policies are scheduled to end in the near future and advanced economies are beginning to normalize their monetary policy, we are watching episodes of volatility in global financial markets. For emerging markets improving...

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