Posts Tagged Real Sector Confidence
Turkey Macro: 2Q16 GDP Growth Preview

Turkey Macro: 2Q16 GDP Growth Preview

Turkey’s growth has been remarkable resilient recently. While some of the biggest developing has entered recession, and some other has just muddled along, Turkey has managed to sustain economic growth along with its Asia peers amid rising concerns around emerging markets.

Turkey, despite some setbacks, grew 4.8% y/y in 1Q 2016, beating our estimates by 40 basis points. The economy was faster largely due to private consumption and lacked the contribution from private investment, which, however, could...

Confidence Indicators Signal A Tragedy

Confidence Indicators Signal A Tragedy

After the shocking interest rate hike by Turkish Central Bank that made many people mesmerized late at night, we have seen how Turkish Lira has turned into a hit and run for traders as it reached at 2.31 per dollar after breaking below 2.17. The decision was interpreted as that Turkish Central bank regains the credibility that it lost (last week). Well, taking a look at the exchange rates, it seems like credibility is lost again but may...

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