Non-Financial Sector Debt: Impending Risks
Previously we noted that Turkey debt will draw attention as global monetary conditions were set to be less friendly to developing economies than it had been in the past. Following the Trump win, we have seen a bond rout in the United States, resulting in higher yields that simultaneously putting emerging market assets...
Sahibinden: On the Cusp of Becoming Turkey’s First Unicorn
Sahibinden.com is an online shopping in platform in which people and businesses buy and sell real estate, cars and broad variety of goods and services, headquartered in Istanbul and owned by Aksoy Group. Sahibinden’s e-commerce business relies solely on third-party sales in Turkey, in other words, a model similar to Alibaba is being...
Q4 2015 GDP: Robust but Vulnerable
At 4 percent, Turkey GDP’s growth rate remained robust despite a challenging year, primarily driven by strong private and public consumption, and higher gross fixed capital formation in the public sector. In 4Q 2015, the economy expanded by 5.7% y/y comparing favorably with consensus of 5%. That said, adjusted for seasonality and working-day...
2014 GDP Growth: Underwhelming
Turkey’s Gross Domestic Product expanded 2.6% in 4Q14, higher than the market consensus of 2.1%, bringing full year growth to 2.9%, compared with an upwardly revised 4.2% a year earlier. Stronger than projected stock drawdown was the key driver of the deviation from the consensus. The contribution of net exports and investments to GDP growth...
One Chart On Turkey’s Growth Dilemma
All agents in the country excluding the government walk on eggs while making an investment decision. This is usual when the private sector influence by the added insecurities and domestic and foreign macroeconomic developments. On the other hand in a country where a housing bubble about to burst exists, this is also alarming....