Pakistan: An Attractive Frontier Market Pick in Asia
After years of full of challenges, Pakistani economy is now out of the woods with high-single digit GDP growth rates projected for the upcoming two years. Even if the country still faces some significant political risks and has some vulnerabilities due to high indebtedness, we believe the provided risk-reward profile is very compelling at this point.
Pakistan is one of the few frontier markets that are expected to receive a credit rating upgrade this year. As...
The Outlook of Foreign Direct Investment
Turkey is running a large current account deficit and is a big borrower from abroad as the deficit roughly accounts for 6% of the country’s total GDP and short-term foreign debt stock hits $130 billion. Under such circumstances foreign capital would suppress the rising concerns around the country’s debt. However, Turkey seems to be less attractive to consistently high foreign direct investments leaving the country less able to deal with the stress on its financial system.
The...
Turkey Current Accout Deficit Widens in September
September’s current account deficit surprised the market to the upside at $3.28bn; the 12-month rolling current account deficit is likely to continue to widen. With this outcome, the gap in the first nine months of the year becomes $49bn, which compares unfavorably with the deficit seen in the same period of 2012 ($38bn). Market consensus error was due to higher than expected gold imports.
There are some developments are worth noting...