Pakistan: An Attractive Frontier Market Pick in Asia
After years of full of challenges, Pakistani economy is now out of the woods with high-single digit GDP growth rates projected for the upcoming two years. Even if the country still faces some significant political risks and has some vulnerabilities due to high indebtedness, we believe the provided risk-reward profile is very compelling at this point.
Pakistan is one of the few frontier markets that are expected to receive a credit rating upgrade this year. As...
The Real Effects of External Debt on Turkey
One basic problem of Turkish economy is that the large current account deficit which is expected to equal to 4.5% of total Gross Domestic Product at the end of this year. When this is the case, the short term capital inflows and foreign direct investments (FDI) in the country becomes crucially important (Recently we published a post about the outlook of FDI in Turkey). That said, short terms capital flows into the country has come into prominence as...
The Behavior of Current Account in Turkey
Turkey today posted better than expected current account deficit after naming the deficit as the second most important economic challenge after inflation in its Medium Term Plan. According to the posted official figures the deficit in August was $2.77 billion which is well below the market consensus of $3.2 billion. The country’s deficit for the January-August period also dropped by $16.2 billion to $29.5 billion. Leading economists covering Turkey expect the total deficit to hit $45 billion at...