Posts for Macro View Category
Why Inflation May Not Fell to Single-Digit Figures This Year

Why Inflation May Not Fell to Single-Digit Figures This Year

The following is an update about April inflation print in Turkey (source: Hurriyet Daily News):

Turkey’s annual inflation rate increased in April, reaching its highest level in around nine years, as a result of a weak Turkish Lira in several sectors, according to official data released on May 3.

Consumer prices in Turkey rose 11.87 percent year-on-year in April from 11.29 percent in March, data from the Turkish Statistics Institute (TÜİK) showed. Annual consumer price inflation was also at the highest level since October 2008.

The volatility in food prices again had its impact on the headline...

A Brief History of Monetary Orthodoxy in Turkey

A Brief History of Monetary Orthodoxy in Turkey

Since late 2010, the Central Bank of Turkey has been employing unconventional monetary policy tools primarily for price stability, and creating an environment conducive for economic development. It is hard to tell the reserve bank has succeeded in the former, and Turkey’s track record of economic growth is disputable.

Now with the CPI growth standing at...

Credit Guarantee Fund: Will It Juice Economy?

Credit Guarantee Fund: Will It Juice Economy?

Turkish government introduced a new facility so-called ‘Credit Guarantee Fund’ a couple of months ago to boost the economic activity by spurring lending to small and medium size enterprises where majority of the country’s workforce is employed. As is Clear from its name, this is typically a system of state-guaranteed lending in which the government...

Mortgage Boom in the Making

Mortgage Boom in the Making

Construction sector has maintained a significant role for Turkish economy in recent years as house prices in mega cities have skyrocketed and government sponsored large projects have been under way. Now with the economy sending signals of slowdown, we not surprisingly saw some attempts to boost the industry which has been at the forefront of...

Q4 2016 GDP Preview: Recovering but Subdued

Q4 2016 GDP Preview: Recovering but Subdued

Q4 2016 GDP data will be posted this Friday, probably mark a recovery from Q3 when a negative figure was recorded as the consensus estimates signal a 1.9% annual change in GDP, corresponding to 2.2% growth for FY 2016.

We believe that Q4 GDP growth is likely to exceed estimations as we see strong exports and...

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