Posts for Macro View Category

Is Debt Saturation A Reality for Turkey?

Debt saturation, an economic term commonly used for today’s developed markets where the excess-liquidity-led more-debt-less-growth conundrum is faced, is becoming more increasingly relevant to generally accepted discourse on Turkish economy. While the country already had been through a severe credit crunch over the past two quarters, the weakening relationship between (slowing) growth and (rising) debt was a long-standing issue in the economy.

To put a more finely definite light on debt saturation, or named as debt exhaustion in some extreme cases, it is the economic phenomenon in which returns on additional debt are increasingly marginal. During the debt-saturated times, typically, lenders...

How Banks Benefited From Easy Money Policy

One immutable rule in developing nations is the existence of politicians who palpably need fast economic activity to keep its voter base strong. In Turkey, this is absolutely proven to be right by the President Erdogan whose repeated pro-growth economic views are well known ─which include very dissenting opinions to generally accepted theories such as high interest rates cause high inflation. It is also not a secret that Turkish President has been piling pressure on the central bank and other...

Turkey Inflation: A Year with A Bad Ending

Turkey Inflation: A Year with A Bad Ending

‘Hate to Say I Told You So’ was one of the most iconic songs in early 2000s, performed by the band called The Hives. Now the phrase also reflects my views on the evolution of Turkey’s price stability indicators this year. In line with my (ahead of the curve) expectations, which I shared in a blog post in May (Why Inflation May Not Fell to Single-Digit Figures This Year), the year finished with a double-digit inflation figure in Turkey as...

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