Browsing: Sector Reports

Sector Reports
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Alarming Rise in Energy Loans

Turkish banks have been lending to energy industry firms at a rapid clip. The share of the industry in total corporate loans rose from 3% in 2007 to 7.4% in 2H15, and this came amid a lending boom that had been a major concern about…

Sector Reports
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Banks to Face Risks from FX Liabilities

The U.S. Federal Reserve tightening that is to set off a big exodus from emerging markets, coupled with rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East has currently weighed on Turkish markets. We have seen all Turkish asset classes posting heavy losses as well as Turkish…

Sector Reports
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State-Owned Banks under Pressure

Considering the fact that poor performance from main bank stocks is more able to drag the whole market down in Turkey than anywhere else, I have been trying to provide comprehensive information about the key themes in the industry in order to measure the changing…

Sector Reports
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Are Turkish Banks Undervalued?

Turkish banks had outperformed European peers over the course of last year. However, rising risks around Turkish central bank’s independency depressed the asset prices in the country as well as the share prices. Therefore, the gap between Turkish banks and their European peers began to…

Business Reports
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On HSBC’s Exit from Turkey

In response to the global financial crisis, financial institutions in advanced economies have increased their focus on risk management leading some of the big names in the industry bowing out of emerging markets with low risk-reward profile. Specifically, Turkey has been a unique stage for…

Equities
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Determinants of Bank Profitability

Examining the determinants of the banks profitability is very important in any economy as these foundations perform key financial functions. In Turkey it is even more important considering the fact that the stock market is heavily dominated by the banks. See here, here and here…

Equities
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A Historical Analysis of Turkish Bank Stocks

As I noted earlier, Turkish stock market is mostly driven by a bunch of large-cap bank stocks with high levels of trading activity. Under these circumstances, developments in the industry becomes crucially important for any investor holding Turkish assets. Hereby, my aim is to mention…

Equities
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Turkish Banks: An Overview of Funding Trends

After focusing on expectations, risks and valuations in Turkish banks, here the funding trends across the industry becomes the theme of this post. In the above-mentioned post, we showed that much faster rise in loans compared with domestic savings rates would be creating liquidity and…

Equities
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Turkish Banks: Expectations, Valuations & Risks

Expectations Over the past two months we have seen earnings upgrades coming to an end in most emerging market as well as in Turkey. Specifically, for Turkish banks, consensus lowered next year’s earnings estimate by a considerable 0.7%, bringing the cumulative cut to 1.5% since…

Equities
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What Fee Restriction Would Mean for the Stocks

Huseyin Aydin, head of the Turkish Banks’ Association, said that he expects the regulator to publish new rules that limit fees and commission charged by the banks (read the Bloomberg story here). This has been longstanding topic in the industry and eventually it will be…

Equities
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Banks to Stay Under Pressure

One of the main functions that banks provide is liquidity transformation. To simplify this financial term, one can interpret it as funding shorter term assets with longer term liabilities. In case of  failure of this process, the banks face a liquidity mismatch which would put…

Equities
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Draft Revealed For Regulation on Consumer Loans

The burning question has been how the Banking Supervisory would regulate the consumer loans with some tightening tools. Yesterday, the draft for new regulations were revealed on consumer loans and credit cards with the intention of slowing general purpose lending. Some expected restrictions are listed…