Browsing: Equities

Equities
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Determinants of Bank Profitability

Examining the determinants of the banks profitability is very important in any economy as these foundations perform key financial functions. In Turkey it is even more important considering the fact that the stock market is heavily dominated by the banks. See here, here and here…

Equities
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A Historical Analysis of Turkish Bank Stocks

As I noted earlier, Turkish stock market is mostly driven by a bunch of large-cap bank stocks with high levels of trading activity. Under these circumstances, developments in the industry becomes crucially important for any investor holding Turkish assets. Hereby, my aim is to mention…

Equities
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Turkish Banks: An Overview of Funding Trends

After focusing on expectations, risks and valuations in Turkish banks, here the funding trends across the industry becomes the theme of this post. In the above-mentioned post, we showed that much faster rise in loans compared with domestic savings rates would be creating liquidity and…

Equities
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Turkish Banks: Expectations, Valuations & Risks

Expectations Over the past two months we have seen earnings upgrades coming to an end in most emerging market as well as in Turkey. Specifically, for Turkish banks, consensus lowered next year’s earnings estimate by a considerable 0.7%, bringing the cumulative cut to 1.5% since…

Equities
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Turkish Stocks: Volatility and Returns

It recently has been with full of ups and downs in almost all financial markets. Dips and spikes certainly should have thrown many investors for a loop. As expected it has been the same in Turkish markets. After hitting the top over 80,000 at the…

Equities
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Why Foreign Portfolio Flows Matter

In every emerging market, the capital flows from developed countries have the ability to determine the direction which asset prices move into. Particularly, in Turkish stock market where the foreign investors hold roughly 65% of total assets have strong influence on returns. To this extent, the…

Equities
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What Fee Restriction Would Mean for the Stocks

Huseyin Aydin, head of the Turkish Banks’ Association, said that he expects the regulator to publish new rules that limit fees and commission charged by the banks (read the Bloomberg story here). This has been longstanding topic in the industry and eventually it will be…

Company Reports
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The Curious Case of Asya Bank

Asya Katilim Bankasi A.S. (ASYAB) is the third largest Islamic lender in Turkey by assets which is backed by Gulenist capitalists making it become a target as the government declared war against Gulen movement and called it public enemy number one. As well known, the…

Equities
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Banks to Stay Under Pressure

One of the main functions that banks provide is liquidity transformation. To simplify this financial term, one can interpret it as funding shorter term assets with longer term liabilities. In case of  failure of this process, the banks face a liquidity mismatch which would put…

Equities
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Turkish Banks: Solvent but Illiquid?

One of the major roles of banks is to channel funds from savings into valuable projects. In doing so, banks engage in liquidity and maturity transformation, since they finance long-term, illiquid project while funding themselves with short-term, liquid abilities. By performing this important role, banks…

Equities
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Draft Revealed For Regulation on Consumer Loans

The burning question has been how the Banking Supervisory would regulate the consumer loans with some tightening tools. Yesterday, the draft for new regulations were revealed on consumer loans and credit cards with the intention of slowing general purpose lending. Some expected restrictions are listed…

Equities
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Turkish Banks: Out of Deep Waters?

Despite the recent decline in the stock market, key fundamentals still build a supportive case for Turkish banks. Fiscal year growth is likely to exceed expectations, margins are to recover through in last quarter of this year and in 2014, as well as, despite the…